
| Published May 14, 2024
The U.S. State Department’s decision to blacklist Cuba as a “Not Fully Cooperating Country” (NFCC) in counterterrorism has several significant implications:
1. Diplomatic Strain:
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U.S.-Cuba Relations: The designation worsens already tense relations between Washington and Havana, reversing recent diplomatic progress made under the Biden administration.
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Regional Isolation: Other Latin American countries may view this move as part of a broader U.S. strategy to pressure left-leaning governments in the region.
2. Counterterrorism Cooperation:
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Eroded Trust: Cuba’s refusal to extradite or prosecute U.S. fugitives, including those with terrorism charges, signals a breakdown in bilateral counterterrorism cooperation.
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Risk of Safe Haven: The decision may reinforce concerns that Cuba is a safe haven for fugitives, undermining U.S. counterterrorism objectives.
3. U.S. Policy Consistency:
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Political Division: The designation highlights the stark contrast between the Biden administration’s engagement approach (which removed Cuba from the NFCC list) and the Trump administration’s hardline stance under Marco Rubio.
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Bipartisan Tensions: Domestic debate may intensify, with conservatives supporting the designation for security reasons, while progressives argue it hinders diplomatic engagement.
4. Economic and Trade Consequences:
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Defense Restrictions: Cuba is now barred from purchasing U.S. defense articles and services, limiting its access to critical security equipment.
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Investment Deterrence: The designation may deter international investors who fear U.S. sanctions, further damaging Cuba’s struggling economy.
5. Human Rights Concerns:
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Cuban Political Prisoners: The designation may complicate future negotiations for the release of political prisoners in Cuba, a key aspect of the 2024 Vatican-brokered deal.
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Extradition Controversy: Cuba’s protection of fugitives like William Morales and Joanne Chesimard (Assata Shakur) raises ethical questions about shielding convicted terrorists.
6. Regional Geopolitical Impact:
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Cuban Alignment: Cuba may strengthen ties with anti-U.S. countries (Russia, China, Venezuela) in response, further deepening its opposition to U.S. policies.
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U.S. Influence: Washington’s move could pressure other Latin American countries to reassess their diplomatic relations with Cuba.
SOURCES: TOWNHALL – State Department Blacklists This Country for Not Cooperating With US on Counterterrorism Efforts
MIAMI HERALD – Rubio says Cuba failed to cooperate with U.S. on counter-terrorism efforts last year
THE DAILY ITEM – Marco Rubio says Cuba failed to cooperate with US on counterterrorism efforts last year
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